Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 7.198119 8.319261 9.518852 10.893526 12.420798 14.061091 15.951410
2025-03-16 5.273319 6.728223 8.403736 10.458504 12.892053 15.663646 19.039238
2025-03-23 4.312156 6.016924 8.112466 10.836062 14.237426 18.298799 23.464488
2025-03-30 3.450912 5.256707 7.620044 10.862641 15.111552 20.401400 27.386694
2025-04-06 2.638654 4.401034 6.858878 10.415673 15.295897 21.614071 30.249449
2025-04-13 2.006215 3.669309 6.140167 9.904755 15.299107 22.539365 32.748300
2025-04-20 1.741107 3.436665 6.088418 10.296411 16.531723 25.132896 37.546593
2025-04-27 1.613171 3.398277 6.313090 11.095936 18.377681 28.643689 43.734419
2025-05-04 1.462901 3.291156 6.407295 11.690282 19.945655 31.827618 49.597403
2025-05-11 1.244096 3.016458 6.186044 11.755857 20.707766 33.879833 53.940932
2025-05-18 1.009422 2.661081 5.774741 11.461051 20.875594 35.050509 57.047800
2025-05-25 0.823840 2.362903 5.419433 11.212910 21.079095 36.257400 60.225168
2025-06-01 0.693743 2.160664 5.222995 11.233474 21.738882 38.220902 64.659335
2025-06-08 0.567210 1.934486 4.946751 11.080832 22.096076 39.729920 68.471824
2025-06-15 0.523365 1.903757 5.061173 11.654833 23.713192 43.278450 75.507959
2025-06-22 0.449749 1.774812 4.950222 11.788564 24.572426 45.651242 80.813469
2025-06-29 0.351036 1.543103 4.577389 11.371533 24.426231 46.383480 83.579641
2025-07-06 0.266168 1.319332 4.180855 10.857414 24.056978 46.714743 85.703192
2025-07-13 0.242619 1.290160 4.244592 11.298819 25.466475 50.058792 92.737879
2025-07-20 0.240312 1.336713 4.502634 12.171453 27.724414 54.907400 102.329413
2025-07-27 0.227635 1.340913 4.652224 12.818358 29.580956 59.126891 111.002427
2025-08-03 0.194322 1.252354 4.546177 12.893381 30.341445 61.486654 116.693630
2025-08-10 0.153615 1.113222 4.278948 12.578725 30.319883 62.480770 120.151212